Lots of writing today, not much profound, but thoughts on many topics. Don’t waste your time unless you know you like mental midget meandering on a big landscape. This is not a waste of my time, I find it takes many runs through a line of thought to find all of the mental links that illuminate it and connect to other lines of thought. Those make the meaning and separate simplistic thinking from more advanced kinds of confusions. Messy process.
Another major assumption of human genomics bites the dust. Throw out anything derived from the assumption that only females provide mitochondria to offspring, e.g. mitochrondrial Eve may well have been Mitochondrial Adam and all genetic models, e.g. population structures and inheritance :
Ralph Nader has opposed corporate control aspects of big government for his entire career :
As a result of the video on cocaine and nicotine in mummies, I have found and read discussions of drugs in other cultures. Wine technology was strongly associated with the earliest cultures and was a large part of the early trade. Civilizations began as drug producers and sellers. Standard reasons, high value, not widely available, makes people feel good, increases social interactions, an aphrodisiac.
Blue Lotus was a favorite in the old days. One could easily conclude that all cultures have used a wide variety of psychoactives, many with effects of an aphrodisiac. Who would have guessed? :
George Webb is one of the most admirable people on the planet, so far as I know, and I check out a lot of people directly and vastly more indirectly every year. I work at this.
The number and depth of connections that George can maintain in working memory is awesome to behold. I have long thought that the Continuity of Government people are the big danger to civilian government, this video discusses them again.
Webb is not omniscient, has not always been correct in his hypotheses, but at least he always tells you when he is ahead of his verified sources and uses working hypotheses to move the investigation ever-deeper. Every discussion points to areas where we need to find more information, here are the terms for people to search.
Watch that all the way through to see what an open source intelligence project in the world of the internet can produce, and think how far the NYTimes is behind that growing set of links and leaks and communications that will ultimately be revealed, if only a piece at a time.
Webb’s group’s of online researchers output is the equivalent of several long books by now. Everything based in gov reports, FOIAs accumulating, serious publications, books, papers, … Nothing is made up except for things George puts together as working hypothesis.
Some of George’s comments today show how deep are his sources, mentions of having interviewed several people associated with the generals.
George is a year ahead of the NYTimes, probably ahead of any government investigation because agencies and cabals don’t share data very well if it implicates anyone, so the only possible path of putting it together is via someone like George being an open source fusion center. Interesting dynamic, another one of the changes in power structures that the internet is producing.
By this point, George has named a lot of names and agencies and their role in the various kinds of corruption. Lately the Continuity of Government people have been connected to the Iran Nuclear deal, part of Uranium One in many links. In this view, the Clintons were no official cover operatives who did well. NOCs get to skim the take, and do very well financially, which, along with the great cover so there is no legal risk, is why we have so many NOCs in American life.
An unknown amount of our government’s activity is done outside of the chain of command. That is the same as a mafia, every time. These people have power, and are therefore not of sound mind. We need to take that power from them.
George’s group of researchers is winning because no intelligence agency can control the metadata. Metadata the data collected on every transaction, every time someone passes a security camera. Metadata is built into the fabric of civilization, part of the environment, unchangable by mere intelligence agencies. As more and more of life is recorded, the proportion of metadata with which to triangulate items in explanations so as to estimate truth is much enhanced. Many ways of checking a fact mean it is a lot harder for the people to lie and get away with it. Yes, the Deep Black Swamp controls legacy media, but in many important ways, transparency is happening.
So our Deep State’s problem is only going to get worse, as I have long predicted. The information is out there, there are many more people emulating George Webb or one of the other major researchers. Cumulatively, along with all the people following these threads on twitter, youtube and other forums, there are a lot of facts for the growing number of minds searching the web and public data stores to connect to things they personally know about. And behind George are the historians and policy people who write books, springboarding off of individual lines of evidence George’s people have uncovered.
Mining metadata is a growth industry. The first phase was NSA and CIA analysts pushing ‘collect it all’, followed by stupidly funding Google to index what they had no need of collecting because it was already public. The the browser became the universal interface to data and applications, huge amounts of data on everything is exposed, and institutions and ruling class individuals are finding that metadata works well for the rest of us in our own triangulations.
Seems to me that the political realignment happening is society sorting itself into two major classes : those who have been compromised by money, power or sin, a group including many of the people who have clearances in our governments and contractors, as well as the many people dependent upon government, vs those who have not been detected sinning enough to blackmail into a more serious crime or succeeded to an extent where anyone would need to care about our opinions. ‘Deplorable losers’ Hillary called us.
The shrinking 3rd group is the moderate middle, supporters of the Stasis Quo. US middle class numbers are fading. Working class loyalties to the Democratic Party are fading. The great majority of people in the military and police are patriotic, law-abiding citizens, mostly voting Republican and for peace. That makes destabilizing this society a much harder problem. Has a country so well-armed ever been destabilized? Don’t know of any.
Our opinions are beginning to make a difference, thanks to the internet. I think truth is breaking out all over and there is a growing chance that Trump will be the president that breaks the Deep State, brings everyone in government and contractors under the chain of command and within the laws and the Constitution. That is hope, there are no prosecutions of any significant figure in obvious criminal organizations and few credible reports of serious investigations.
There is no possible way trafficking of any kind can be compliant with the plain text of the law and the US Constitution. A legislature cannot pass a law making it legal for the government agents to defraud taxpayers is the first obvious point. They can’t put Americans at risk to harm without notice, much less make a profit at it. The mafias inside our government are the danger to the citizens of the US, far beyond any risk from external powers.
Mafias have more control in more primitive societies, less metadata means more secrecy. Keep that bit of difference in preferences for futures in mind as we deal with these fellow humans we have allowed to become intoxicated with power. We should not do that to our fellow humans, it isn’t kind to them and it is very dangerous to the rest of us.
Breaking the mafias is the #1 goal for a civilized mind, seems to me. We know the mafia’s and sympathizers’ members because they oppose exposing information. Edward Snowden is a hero, anyone who says otherwise is with the mafia. Generalize.
This is George Nader who George discusses near the end of that video :
A rational argument, assuming a welfare state. But assuming a welfare state is not rational, far too many failure modes and thus not sustainable, with nasty social consequences as they fail. 65% taxes means it would have been more effective to maintain more stay-at-home parents and retired people involved in local communities and running charities, which would also have enhanced the rate of social evolution instead of freezing it :
This is the best kind of charity, a real hope for people and a mechanism to turn this system to a sustainable future :
A thought I just re-had is that drugs, alcohol, … are more a symptom of social and economic problems than a cause. Gov treats them as a cause because it can plausibly do that, but can’t deal with the underlying issues.
Random rethinking and re-expressing the thought. I find it unlikely that Raven’s Progessive Matrices or any other paper and pencil test could find all of the uncorrelated, thus independent, measurable dimensions of intelligence. Even discussions by academics who should know better think IQ measures intelligence, rather than merely one aspect of intelligence in one culture. Flynn Effect is a real thing, why can nobody crank that into their thinking. Especially since it means any attempt to say that one race is smarter than another is bogus, there cannot be a culture-free intelligence test.
When Charles Murray published “The Bell Curve” it met with a storm of academic criticism, much legit. I don’t see that for the more recent people pushing the same story, that IQ is intelligence, rather than IQ is one measure of the dimensions of intelligence among many, a measure that predicts academic success well and life success much less well.
At the same time, I believe much of the IQ data, intelligence is important, it means you make more correct decisions. I believe there are genes that make it more probable that you will, in your environment, be more intelligent with one allele than another. No doubt some of these alleles will be more frequent in some populations than others. But even if we had identified every such gene and its exact function, we can’t measure enough dimensions of intelligence to have the context to even begin understanding the optimizations that natural selection makes wrt those genes. Much less beginning a program to enhance the various kinds of intelligence, much less a program to enhance the effectiveness of including different kinds of intelligence on different kinds of teams.
At the same time, Flynn says that being outside of your society’s standard information flows will produce a lower IQ score, so any deviation from social conformity has a risk of starting a positive-feedback loop producing more failures and lower IQ.
All evil requires people believing without evidence. We cannot permit untruths in our social sphere, they produce evil every time. Another reason we cannot allow our government to have secrets. If secrets, there can be no effective watchman, truth is hidden. IGs have not done their jobs, the cases of 93 whistleblowers George Webb has discussed are very good measures of that.
A reason I think that much philosophy is bunk is revealed in this Simone de Beauvoir quote “existence precedes essence”. Obviously true by definition, perhaps something clever to say in a salon debate, but how does a statement like that add meaning to biology or help me make any decision?
The Stoics had a goal for their philosophy, establishing a framework so that good people could know how to make their children’s world a better place. They dealt with reality. Humans are biological, of course they have a nature, a set of characteristics of the species, every species does, although we find amazing variability depending on their environment. Of course those characteristics limit possibilities and interests. Of course environments have a major effect in individual’s characteristics, what else is culture?. Only philosophers and psychologists could deny the obvious :
Very encouraging news from Syria following Trump’s excellent decision to remove US troops. It is excellent that Bolton is tagged with the mistake to keep them there for so long. Yes, I feel for the Kurds, yes we used them. But I don’t feel for them any more than the rest of the couple of million people who have been killed as a result of the US’s fighting Israel’s wars, and I know that nobody knows how to fix this kind of problem. Israel was created to do that, as an example of how easily things go wrong :
Pig in the Python is a book that talked about the consequences of the Baby Boom generation. 93 million Americans, nearly 30% of the total, were born 1945-1965. This discusses how that produces a different personality and society. Add to that the fact that that extended Boomer generation owns or controls so much of America, they will of course be blamed for the social and economic disasters happening to us. Good, Boomers finished abandoning the Constitution, a project started by FDR’s ‘progressives’, the social justice warrior activist wing which evolved from the Puritans :
A documentary on Wittgenstein. Why can we state all propositions in the natural sciences, but nothing about what is important in philosophy? What is the qualitative difference between them that imposes that condition? I may not ever finish this, pure mentation doesn’t get very far, seems to me.
Good to know that even Wittgenstein wished for more intelligence. It confirms my thought that you can’t ever have too much intelligence. His letters describing his ups and downs of progress in thinking through problems seem like mine at my level, and Wittgenstein also says that working through combinations of ideas takes a long time. I see that an intelligent man, not just a wise man, is someone who agrees with me.
The problem for philosophy is how a mind develops in a brain developing in a body developing in a culture developing in a civilization. That is one of the ideas I am trying to think through lately.
To provide a clear view of my competence to do that, I will recount my understanding of philosophical topics. First, I have a vague idea that much philosophy was obsoleted by ‘the map is not the territory’ Korzybski. Maps and territories have formal relationships. Philosophical inquiry at the Russell and Wittgenstein level is maybe discussing categories of maps, territories and relationships but it is outside of my scope.
Types of philosophy I think I can name are:
A) moral-religious about which I know little.
B) Cantor, Russel and Whitehead, the French academy various attempts to put one solid foundation under mathematics and logic about which I know even less. Maybe I only need know Godel blew that idea out of the water.
C) Epistemology, rules of evidence for interpreting external reality, a long time background interest of mine, tho I am no philosopher. But to summarize, you need to be able to measure things, all measurements have error bars, the nature of reality changes at the quantuum level, chaos reigns at every level. ‘Reality’ is sort-of-shared maps in the fallible minds of humans, not territory in reality. People are not rigorous in separating those in their thinking, need to be. Reasoning is making analogies, a philosophically suspect operation, a different class of mental thing than objects, quantities being thought about. That sort-of ties into the foundations of math and logic, maybe.
D) Cognitive theory, bleeding over into AI and psychology and neuroscience. Early, early days here. I think there is very little theory to provide any framework for even the research program that might provide a genuine human-scale intelligence, much less one we could trust.
Stoicism is in the zeitgeist these days.
That the result of long work as a generalist and software engineer. Success in reorganizing philosophy on a firmer foundation is assured, obviously.
I think the issue of trust will be much excitement in the process of bringing genuine artificial intelligences into our lives.. Give an entity the intelligence to deal with real-world problems, access to the information necessary to solve them, volition enough to pursue the goal, and power enough to deal with assigned problems, you have something that can work against your interests. Somewhere I read that 25% of people working are watching the other 75%. Yes, if have a human in a position with that description, we know we have to watch them carefully :
I didn’t read much of this. Indeed, the financial system does not make sense in historical terms and we will be re-learning what that means over the next few years :
I want to assure you that all the vape shop employees I have encountered are more sensible than this one. I discuss Trump with the people at the one I buy from, no problem, and this is a very progressive leftish area. I think vape shop people are standard small business people with a special dislike of government, especially the new nanny variety.
I don’t know enough about social contagions to compare this to previous episodes in our history, but they must have produced exactly this kind of craziness. I described a case I personally talked to earlier in the year that happened in a very upscale, progressive community, where a woman refused to have her echo cardiogram done by an Armenian technician she thought was too Russian. That woman and her friends would have been horrified if a person had reacted so to progressive-protected skin color or religion, but the Russians are white and Christian, so no problem.
Sort of makes you wonder how they are going to win elections having produced emotional breakdowns like this one :